Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-17 18:45
Troyes – Lens
Home
10%
9.52 fair
Draw
17%
5.91 fair
Away
73%
1.38 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-2
Troyes – Lens
FINAL
Actual Result
1–3
Troyes – Lens
Expected Goals3.11
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
12.0%
→
10.5%
-1.5 pp
Draw
16.8%
→
16.9%
+0.1 pp
Away
71.2%
→
72.6%
+1.4 pp
Over 2.5
63.9%
→
60.3%
-3.6 pp
Both teams to score
52.9%
→
49.0%
-3.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.28 →
3.11
-0.17
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
0-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 10.5% | 9.52 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 89.5% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
HT/FT
| 7.5% | 13.32 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.73 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.2 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.24 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.7 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 7.01 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.48 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — |
Home team goals
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.54 | — |
Away team goals
| 90.5% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
Both to score
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — |
Corners
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — |
Home corners
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Away corners
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — |
Cards
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds