Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-17 15:15
Strasbourg – Paris SG
Home
22%
4.54 fair
Draw
21%
4.75 fair
Away
57%
1.76 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Strasbourg – Paris SG
FINAL
Actual Result
1–3
Strasbourg – Paris SG
Expected Goals3.37
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.565%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
22.7%
→
22.0%
-0.7 pp
Draw
20.6%
→
21.1%
+0.4 pp
Away
56.6%
→
56.9%
+0.3 pp
Over 2.5
65.6%
→
65.0%
-0.6 pp
Both teams to score
62.7%
→
62.9%
+0.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.36 →
3.37
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 22.0% | 4.54 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.75 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — |
Both halves
| 4.5% | 22.03 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.0% | 9.11 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.92 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.24 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.24 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.61 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.5 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.98 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
Total goals
| 96.7% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.64 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — |
Away team goals
| 88.3% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — |
Both to score
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Corners
| 60.4% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.98 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — |
Home corners
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.49 | — |
Away corners
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Cards
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.36 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds