Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-10-16 18:45
Le Mans – Toulouse
Home
47%
2.11 fair
Draw
22%
4.5 fair
Away
30%
3.3 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Le Mans – Toulouse
FINAL
Actual Result
0–3
Le Mans – Toulouse
Expected Goals3.42
Both teams to score66%
Over 2.566%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
46.4%
→
47.5%
+1.1 pp
Draw
22.5%
→
22.2%
-0.3 pp
Away
31.1%
→
30.3%
-0.8 pp
Over 2.5
66.2%
→
66.4%
+0.1 pp
Both teams to score
66.6%
→
66.4%
-0.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.41 →
3.42
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.8% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — |
Both halves
| 14.1% | 7.09 | — |
HT/FT
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 7.4% | 13.57 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.33 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.22 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.16 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.31 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.38 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.25 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — |
Total goals
| 96.8% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — |
1st-half goals
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — |
Home team goals
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — |
Both to score
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — |
Corners
| 65.1% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.35 | — |
Away corners
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — |
Cards
| 77.2% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds