Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-29
Zwolle – AZ Alkmaar
Home
21%
4.72 fair
Draw
22%
4.56 fair
Away
57%
1.76 fair
Expected Goals3.0
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
19.5%
→
21.2%
+1.7 pp
Draw
20.7%
→
21.9%
+1.3 pp
Away
59.9%
→
56.9%
-3.0 pp
Over 2.5
62.0%
→
57.6%
-4.3 pp
Both teams to score
59.0%
→
56.5%
-2.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.19 →
3.0
-0.19
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 20.3% | 4.94 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 4.1% | 24.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.0% | 8.35 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.83 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.74 | — | |||
| 7.9% | 12.66 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.02 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.37 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.39 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — |
Total goals
| 95.1% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.95 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — |
Away team goals
| 85.1% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
Both to score
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — |
Corners
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — |
Home corners
| 55.7% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — |
Away corners
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — |
Cards
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.9 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 83.0% | 1.2 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds