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Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-29

Feyenoord – Ajax

Home 49% 2.04 fair
Draw 22% 4.52 fair
Away 29% 3.47 fair
Expected Goals3.32
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.565%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.9% → 49.0% -1.9 pp
Draw 22.4% → 22.1% -0.3 pp
Away 26.7% → 28.8% +2.1 pp
Over 2.5 63.6% → 64.5% +0.9 pp
Both teams to score 63.4% → 64.7% +1.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.29 → 3.32 +0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.84 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.5 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.0% 2.04 —
22.1% 4.52 —
28.8% 3.47 —
71.2% 1.41 —
51.0% 1.96 —
77.9% 1.28 —

Half-time result

33.8% 2.96 —
36.9% 2.71 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Half-time double chance

70.6% 1.42 —
66.2% 1.51 —
63.1% 1.58 —

Both halves

15.0% 6.67 —

HT/FT

27.7% 3.61 —
4.3% 23.42 —
16.7% 5.98 —
11.4% 8.77 —
8.8% 11.42 —
4.6% 21.79 —
6.5% 15.48 —
18.3% 5.46 —

HT/FT double chance

60.1% 1.66 —
54.9% 1.82 —
26.2% 3.82 —
43.1% 2.32 —
52.4% 1.91 —
30.8% 3.25 —
39.2% 2.55 —
48.4% 2.07 —
44.9% 2.23 —

Total goals

96.5% 1.04 —
84.5% 1.18 —
64.5% 1.55 —
42.2% 2.37 —
15.5% 6.46 —
35.5% 2.82 —
57.8% 1.73 —

1st-half goals

77.2% 1.3 —
43.2% 2.32 —

Home team goals

85.0% 1.18 —
56.5% 1.77 —

Away team goals

76.2% 1.31 —
41.6% 2.4 —

Both to score

64.7% 1.54 —

Corners

71.5% 1.4 —
61.0% 1.64 —
50.2% 1.99 —
39.9% 2.51 —
30.6% 3.27 —
39.1% 2.56 —
49.8% 2.01 —
60.1% 1.66 —
69.5% 1.44 —

Home corners

81.4% 1.23 —
69.4% 1.44 —
55.9% 1.79 —

Away corners

45.9% 2.18 —
29.3% 3.42 —
17.3% 5.78 —

Cards

63.0% 1.59 —
44.3% 2.26 —
28.7% 3.48 —
17.3% 5.77 —
55.7% 1.8 —
71.3% 1.4 —
82.7% 1.21 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds