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Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-29

Den Haag – Utrecht

Home 33% 2.99 fair
Draw 22% 4.46 fair
Away 44% 2.26 fair
Expected Goals3.29
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 20.1% → 33.4% +13.3 pp
Draw 20.3% → 22.4% +2.1 pp
Away 59.6% → 44.2% -15.4 pp
Over 2.5 65.9% → 64.1% -1.8 pp
Both teams to score 61.8% → 65.1% +3.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.39 → 3.29 -0.1
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.63 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.54 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.4% 2.99 —
22.4% 4.46 —
44.2% 2.26 —
55.8% 1.79 —
66.6% 1.5 —
77.6% 1.29 —

Half-time result

16.6% 6.03 —
44.4% 2.25 —
39.0% 2.56 —

Half-time double chance

61.0% 1.64 —
83.4% 1.2 —
55.6% 1.8 —

Both halves

6.2% 16.21 —

HT/FT

11.5% 8.67 —
16.8% 5.94 —
12.6% 7.93 —
14.9% 6.7 —
5.0% 19.88 —
6.8% 14.64 —
27.2% 3.68 —

HT/FT double chance

44.0% 2.28 —
45.4% 2.2 —
32.6% 3.07 —
26.4% 3.79 —
45.8% 2.18 —
39.1% 2.56 —
41.3% 2.42 —
64.0% 1.56 —
61.5% 1.63 —

Total goals

96.4% 1.04 —
84.1% 1.19 —
64.1% 1.56 —
41.7% 2.4 —
15.9% 6.29 —
35.9% 2.78 —
58.3% 1.71 —

1st-half goals

64.9% 1.54 —
28.1% 3.56 —

Home team goals

78.4% 1.28 —
44.5% 2.24 —

Away team goals

83.1% 1.2 —
52.8% 1.9 —

Both to score

65.1% 1.54 —

Corners

70.0% 1.43 —
59.2% 1.69 —
48.2% 2.08 —
37.6% 2.66 —
28.1% 3.56 —
40.8% 2.45 —
51.8% 1.93 —
62.4% 1.6 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Home corners

68.6% 1.46 —
53.0% 1.89 —
38.0% 2.63 —

Away corners

64.2% 1.56 —
47.4% 2.11 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Cards

63.9% 1.57 —
45.0% 2.22 —
29.4% 3.4 —
17.8% 5.62 —
55.0% 1.82 —
70.6% 1.42 —
82.2% 1.22 —

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