Arsenal – Man City
Home
48%
2.07 fair
Draw
27%
3.76 fair
Away
25%
3.97 fair
Expected Goals2.45
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.7%
→
48.2%
+4.5 pp
Draw
26.7%
→
26.6%
-0.1 pp
Away
29.6%
→
25.2%
-4.4 pp
Over 2.5
45.9%
→
44.4%
-1.6 pp
Both teams to score
50.6%
→
48.4%
-2.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.5 →
2.45
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.8% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — |
Both halves
| 13.6% | 7.35 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.55 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.18 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.89 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.51 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.75 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.62 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
Total goals
| 91.3% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — |
Both to score
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — |
Corners
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — |
Home corners
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — |
Away corners
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — |
Cards
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.61 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds