Brighton – Newcastle
Home
51%
1.95 fair
Draw
23%
4.43 fair
Away
26%
3.83 fair
Expected Goals3.17
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
45.5%
→
51.4%
+5.9 pp
Draw
22.8%
→
22.6%
-0.2 pp
Away
31.7%
→
26.1%
-5.6 pp
Over 2.5
63.8%
→
61.6%
-2.2 pp
Both teams to score
64.5%
→
61.4%
-3.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.29 →
3.17
-0.12
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.48 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
Both halves
| 16.7% | 5.99 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.84 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.27 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.36 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.16 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.75 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.86 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.56 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — |
Total goals
| 95.8% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.7% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.77 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — |
Home team goals
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — |
Both to score
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — |
Corners
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — |
Home corners
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — |
Away corners
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — |
Cards
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds