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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-29

Everton – Liverpool

Home 28% 3.6 fair
Draw 26% 3.78 fair
Away 46% 2.18 fair
Expected Goals2.56
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 27.8% → 27.8% +0.0 pp
Draw 26.3% → 26.4% +0.2 pp
Away 46.0% → 45.8% -0.2 pp
Over 2.5 46.5% → 47.6% +1.1 pp
Both teams to score 50.5% → 51.7% +1.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.53 → 2.56 +0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.39 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

27.8% 3.6 —
26.4% 3.78 —
45.8% 2.18 —
54.2% 1.84 —
72.2% 1.39 —
73.6% 1.36 —

Half-time result

22.7% 4.41 —
50.3% 1.99 —
27.1% 3.7 —

Half-time double chance

73.0% 1.37 —
77.3% 1.29 —
49.8% 2.01 —

Both halves

5.2% 19.05 —

HT/FT

14.0% 7.12 —
5.5% 18.21 —
3.2% 31.65 —
12.2% 8.21 —
16.9% 5.93 —
21.2% 4.71 —
4.1% 24.51 —
21.4% 4.68 —

HT/FT double chance

48.6% 2.06 —
50.6% 1.98 —
46.7% 2.14 —
25.2% 3.97 —
40.2% 2.49 —
34.1% 2.93 —
34.7% 2.88 —
56.4% 1.77 —
63.5% 1.57 —

Total goals

92.1% 1.09 —
72.4% 1.38 —
47.6% 2.1 —
25.7% 3.89 —
27.6% 3.62 —
52.4% 1.91 —
74.3% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

58.2% 1.72 —
22.0% 4.55 —

Home team goals

66.5% 1.5 —
29.6% 3.37 —

Away team goals

77.4% 1.29 —
43.0% 2.33 —

Both to score

51.7% 1.93 —

Corners

76.5% 1.31 —
66.7% 1.5 —
55.9% 1.79 —
45.6% 2.19 —
35.7% 2.8 —
33.3% 3.0 —
44.1% 2.27 —
54.4% 1.84 —
64.3% 1.56 —

Home corners

56.6% 1.77 —
40.0% 2.5 —
25.9% 3.86 —

Away corners

80.4% 1.24 —
68.3% 1.46 —
55.1% 1.81 —

Cards

69.3% 1.44 —
50.9% 1.96 —
34.8% 2.87 —
21.9% 4.57 —
49.1% 2.04 —
65.2% 1.53 —
78.1% 1.28 —

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