Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-21
Northampton – Rochdale
Home
52%
1.93 fair
Draw
28%
3.51 fair
Away
20%
5.06 fair
Expected Goals1.99
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score35%
Over 2.532%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
40.6%
→
51.8%
+11.2 pp
Draw
34.3%
→
28.5%
-5.8 pp
Away
25.1%
→
19.8%
-5.3 pp
Over 2.5
22.8%
→
31.8%
+9.0 pp
Both teams to score
30.7%
→
35.4%
+4.7 pp
Expected Goals
1.64 →
1.99
+0.35
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.42 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 88.1% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 13.5% | 7.43 | — |
HT/FT
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.75 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.2 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.93 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.63 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 11.04 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — |
Total goals
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.02 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 85.8% | 1.17 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Away team goals
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.56 | — |
Both to score
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — |
Corners
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
Away corners
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — |
Cards
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds