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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-21

Chesterfield – Shrewsbury

Home 63% 1.59 fair
Draw 21% 4.74 fair
Away 16% 6.3 fair
Expected Goals2.9
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 65.2% → 63.0% -2.2 pp
Draw 21.2% → 21.1% -0.1 pp
Away 13.6% → 15.9% +2.3 pp
Over 2.5 49.2% → 55.3% +6.0 pp
Both teams to score 44.0% → 51.4% +7.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.64 → 2.9 +0.26
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.07 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.54 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

63.0% 1.59 —
21.1% 4.74 —
15.9% 6.3 —
84.1% 1.19 —
37.0% 2.7 —
78.9% 1.27 —

Half-time result

49.5% 2.02 —
36.2% 2.76 —
14.3% 6.99 —

Half-time double chance

85.7% 1.17 —
50.5% 1.98 —
63.8% 1.57 —

Both halves

23.9% 4.18 —

HT/FT

43.8% 2.29 —
4.5% 22.03 —
16.9% 5.93 —
12.8% 7.78 —
6.5% 15.5 —
3.7% 27.03 —
8.2% 12.2 —

HT/FT double chance

78.0% 1.28 —
68.3% 1.46 —
25.1% 3.99 —
54.4% 1.84 —
55.6% 1.8 —
17.7% 5.66 —
35.8% 2.79 —
33.9% 2.95 —
31.2% 3.2 —

Total goals

94.2% 1.06 —
78.5% 1.27 —
55.3% 1.81 —
33.2% 3.01 —
21.4% 4.66 —
44.7% 2.24 —
66.8% 1.5 —

1st-half goals

74.5% 1.34 —
40.2% 2.49 —

Home team goals

86.3% 1.16 —
59.5% 1.68 —

Away team goals

59.3% 1.69 —
22.3% 4.48 —

Both to score

51.4% 1.95 —

Corners

64.9% 1.54 —
53.1% 1.88 —
41.8% 2.39 —
31.5% 3.17 —
22.9% 4.36 —
46.9% 2.13 —
58.2% 1.72 —
68.5% 1.46 —
77.1% 1.3 —

Home corners

75.1% 1.33 —
59.8% 1.67 —
45.4% 2.2 —

Away corners

47.0% 2.13 —
29.7% 3.36 —
17.8% 5.62 —

Cards

79.8% 1.25 —
63.2% 1.58 —
46.6% 2.14 —
31.2% 3.2 —
36.8% 2.72 —
53.4% 1.87 —
68.8% 1.45 —

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