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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-21

Barnet – Port Vale

Home 49% 2.05 fair
Draw 26% 3.87 fair
Away 25% 3.93 fair
Expected Goals2.58
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.7% → 48.8% -2.0 pp
Draw 25.1% → 25.8% +0.8 pp
Away 24.2% → 25.4% +1.2 pp
Over 2.5 48.8% → 47.3% -1.5 pp
Both teams to score 50.9% → 50.8% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.62 → 2.58 -0.04
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.53 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.14 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.8% 2.05 —
25.8% 3.87 —
25.4% 3.93 —
74.6% 1.34 —
51.2% 1.95 —
74.2% 1.35 —

Half-time result

25.5% 3.93 —
44.1% 2.27 —
30.4% 3.28 —

Half-time double chance

69.5% 1.44 —
74.5% 1.34 —
55.9% 1.79 —

Both halves

12.5% 8.03 —

HT/FT

22.1% 4.53 —
21.6% 4.62 —
15.4% 6.49 —
7.0% 14.2 —
5.1% 19.8 —
7.6% 13.12 —
17.8% 5.63 —

HT/FT double chance

61.9% 1.62 —
51.4% 1.95 —
25.9% 3.87 —
37.5% 2.66 —
45.5% 2.2 —
28.8% 3.47 —
49.7% 2.01 —
51.5% 1.94 —
47.8% 2.09 —

Total goals

92.5% 1.08 —
72.8% 1.37 —
47.3% 2.11 —
26.0% 3.84 —
27.2% 3.68 —
52.7% 1.9 —
74.0% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

66.8% 1.5 —
30.0% 3.33 —

Home team goals

78.5% 1.27 —
45.5% 2.2 —

Away team goals

64.7% 1.54 —
27.7% 3.61 —

Both to score

50.8% 1.97 —

Corners

77.8% 1.28 —
68.2% 1.47 —
57.7% 1.73 —
47.1% 2.12 —
37.0% 2.7 —
31.8% 3.14 —
42.3% 2.36 —
52.9% 1.89 —
63.0% 1.59 —

Home corners

86.9% 1.15 —
77.3% 1.29 —
64.9% 1.54 —

Away corners

46.6% 2.15 —
29.2% 3.43 —
16.8% 5.94 —

Cards

75.2% 1.33 —
57.4% 1.74 —
39.3% 2.54 —
24.4% 4.1 —
42.6% 2.34 —
60.7% 1.65 —
75.6% 1.32 —

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