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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-21

Accrington – Salford

Home 33% 3.02 fair
Draw 26% 3.8 fair
Away 41% 2.46 fair
Expected Goals2.59
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 32.3% → 33.1% +0.8 pp
Draw 26.3% → 26.3% -0.0 pp
Away 41.3% → 40.6% -0.8 pp
Over 2.5 46.9% → 48.0% +1.1 pp
Both teams to score 51.6% → 52.6% +1.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.54 → 2.59 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.54 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.35 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.1% 3.02 —
26.3% 3.8 —
40.6% 2.46 —
59.4% 1.68 —
66.9% 1.5 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Half-time result

30.5% 3.27 —
42.4% 2.36 —
27.0% 3.7 —

Half-time double chance

73.0% 1.37 —
69.5% 1.44 —
57.6% 1.74 —

Both halves

7.6% 13.14 —

HT/FT

21.3% 4.69 —
6.1% 16.34 —
3.1% 32.26 —
10.4% 9.6 —
16.1% 6.21 —
15.9% 6.28 —
4.1% 24.45 —
21.6% 4.64 —

HT/FT double chance

54.0% 1.85 —
50.8% 1.97 —
41.2% 2.43 —
32.9% 3.04 —
47.4% 2.11 —
34.9% 2.87 —
32.0% 3.13 —
49.3% 2.03 —
57.7% 1.73 —

Total goals

92.5% 1.08 —
72.7% 1.37 —
48.0% 2.08 —
26.5% 3.78 —
27.3% 3.67 —
51.9% 1.92 —
73.6% 1.36 —

1st-half goals

69.8% 1.43 —
33.6% 2.98 —

Home team goals

70.7% 1.42 —
34.5% 2.9 —

Away team goals

74.4% 1.34 —
39.9% 2.51 —

Both to score

52.6% 1.9 —

Corners

69.5% 1.44 —
58.2% 1.72 —
47.3% 2.12 —
36.9% 2.71 —
27.5% 3.64 —
41.8% 2.39 —
52.7% 1.9 —
63.1% 1.58 —
72.5% 1.38 —

Home corners

65.0% 1.54 —
48.4% 2.07 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Away corners

67.3% 1.48 —
51.3% 1.95 —
36.3% 2.75 —

Cards

77.7% 1.29 —
60.8% 1.65 —
43.0% 2.33 —
27.8% 3.6 —
39.2% 2.55 —
57.0% 1.75 —
72.2% 1.38 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds