Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-21
Newport County – Swindon
Home
32%
3.11 fair
Draw
26%
3.91 fair
Away
42%
2.36 fair
Expected Goals2.81
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
30.5%
→
32.1%
+1.7 pp
Draw
23.5%
→
25.6%
+2.1 pp
Away
46.0%
→
42.3%
-3.7 pp
Over 2.5
58.8%
→
53.2%
-5.6 pp
Both teams to score
60.5%
→
57.1%
-3.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.06 →
2.81
-0.25
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 7.7% | 13.05 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.3% | 5.18 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.5 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.85 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.91 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.69 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.38 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.93 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — |
Both to score
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — |
Corners
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — |
Away corners
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Cards
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.8 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds