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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-21

Gillingham – Crewe

Home 34% 2.98 fair
Draw 29% 3.47 fair
Away 38% 2.65 fair
Expected Goals2.27
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.540%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 32.5% → 33.5% +1.0 pp
Draw 29.2% → 28.8% -0.4 pp
Away 38.3% → 37.7% -0.6 pp
Over 2.5 37.2% → 39.8% +2.6 pp
Both teams to score 43.7% → 46.4% +2.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.17 → 2.27 +0.1
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.05 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.13 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.5% 2.98 —
28.8% 3.47 —
37.7% 2.65 —
62.3% 1.61 —
66.5% 1.5 —
71.2% 1.4 —

Half-time result

26.9% 3.72 —
46.2% 2.16 —
26.9% 3.72 —

Half-time double chance

73.1% 1.37 —
73.1% 1.37 —
53.8% 1.86 —

Both halves

7.1% 13.99 —

HT/FT

19.7% 5.08 —
5.3% 18.9 —
12.3% 8.1 —
19.2% 5.21 —
14.7% 6.82 —
4.3% 23.15 —
21.1% 4.74 —

HT/FT double chance

56.5% 1.77 —
48.6% 2.06 —
41.1% 2.43 —
30.8% 3.25 —
44.2% 2.26 —
32.6% 3.06 —
37.3% 2.68 —
49.6% 2.02 —
59.3% 1.69 —

Total goals

89.5% 1.12 —
66.5% 1.5 —
39.8% 2.51 —
19.3% 5.17 —
33.5% 2.99 —
60.2% 1.66 —
80.7% 1.24 —

1st-half goals

63.8% 1.57 —
27.2% 3.67 —

Home team goals

66.5% 1.5 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Away team goals

69.2% 1.44 —
33.1% 3.02 —

Both to score

46.4% 2.16 —

Corners

65.1% 1.54 —
53.3% 1.87 —
41.8% 2.39 —
31.4% 3.18 —
22.5% 4.44 —
46.7% 2.14 —
58.2% 1.72 —
68.5% 1.46 —
77.5% 1.29 —

Home corners

69.9% 1.43 —
54.2% 1.85 —
38.9% 2.57 —

Away corners

54.4% 1.84 —
36.9% 2.71 —
23.3% 4.29 —

Cards

74.5% 1.34 —
56.7% 1.76 —
39.3% 2.55 —
25.1% 3.99 —
43.3% 2.31 —
60.7% 1.65 —
74.9% 1.33 —

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