Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-14
Swindon – Grimsby
Home
41%
2.43 fair
Draw
25%
4.07 fair
Away
34%
2.91 fair
Expected Goals2.93
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
40.1%
→
41.1%
+1.0 pp
Draw
24.3%
→
24.6%
+0.3 pp
Away
35.6%
→
34.4%
-1.3 pp
Over 2.5
57.2%
→
56.3%
-0.9 pp
Both teams to score
60.0%
→
59.0%
-1.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.98 →
2.93
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 11.4% | 8.8 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.38 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.24 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.15 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.2 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.53 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.75 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
Total goals
| 94.5% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.8 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Both to score
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — |
Corners
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
Home corners
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — |
Away corners
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — |
Cards
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.79 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds