Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-14
Salford – Northampton
Home
43%
2.32 fair
Draw
34%
2.98 fair
Away
23%
4.27 fair
Expected Goals1.68
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score31%
Over 2.524%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
46.7%
→
43.0%
-3.6 pp
Draw
32.3%
→
33.5%
+1.2 pp
Away
21.0%
→
23.4%
+2.4 pp
Over 2.5
24.5%
→
23.7%
-0.8 pp
Both teams to score
30.3%
→
30.9%
+0.7 pp
Expected Goals
1.7 →
1.68
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — |
Both halves
| 9.5% | 10.48 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.7 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.06 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 9.6% | 10.41 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.36 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.57 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — |
Total goals
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.81 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 90.8% | 1.1 | — |
1st-half goals
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.08 | — |
Home team goals
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — |
Away team goals
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.1 | — |
Both to score
| 30.9% | 3.23 | — |
Corners
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — |
Away corners
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Cards
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.18 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds