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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-14

Rochdale – York

Home 27% 3.72 fair
Draw 20% 5.04 fair
Away 53% 1.88 fair
Expected Goals3.88
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score71%
Over 2.574%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 20.7% → 26.9% +6.2 pp
Draw 20.4% → 19.8% -0.6 pp
Away 58.9% → 53.2% -5.6 pp
Over 2.5 64.9% → 74.1% +9.2 pp
Both teams to score 62.2% → 71.4% +9.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.36 → 3.88 +0.52
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.91 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.9% 3.72 —
19.8% 5.04 —
53.2% 1.88 —
46.7% 2.14 —
73.1% 1.37 —
80.2% 1.25 —

Half-time result

14.1% 7.09 —
30.4% 3.29 —
55.5% 1.8 —

Half-time double chance

44.5% 2.24 —
85.9% 1.16 —
69.6% 1.44 —

Both halves

5.2% 19.23 —

HT/FT

10.2% 9.82 —
11.5% 8.72 —
9.0% 11.1 —
10.0% 10.03 —
5.3% 19.01 —
8.3% 12.08 —
41.9% 2.39 —

HT/FT double chance

33.2% 3.01 —
33.0% 3.03 —
22.9% 4.37 —
26.3% 3.81 —
58.7% 1.7 —
54.1% 1.85 —
34.0% 2.94 —
68.6% 1.46 —
69.2% 1.45 —

Total goals

89.3% 1.12 —
74.1% 1.35 —
54.8% 1.82 —
10.7% 9.32 —
25.9% 3.87 —
45.2% 2.21 —

1st-half goals

82.3% 1.22 —
52.2% 1.91 —

Home team goals

79.7% 1.26 —
47.5% 2.1 —

Away team goals

89.5% 1.12 —
66.4% 1.51 —

Both to score

71.4% 1.4 —

Corners

73.1% 1.37 —
62.5% 1.6 —
51.4% 1.94 —
40.6% 2.46 —
30.8% 3.25 —
37.5% 2.66 —
48.6% 2.06 —
59.4% 1.68 —
69.2% 1.44 —

Home corners

70.7% 1.41 —
55.2% 1.81 —
40.0% 2.5 —

Away corners

66.5% 1.5 —
50.0% 2.0 —
34.9% 2.86 —

Cards

70.6% 1.42 —
51.9% 1.93 —
34.3% 2.91 —
20.9% 4.78 —
48.1% 2.08 —
65.7% 1.52 —
79.1% 1.26 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds