Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-14
Port Vale – Accrington
Home
47%
2.15 fair
Draw
28%
3.53 fair
Away
25%
3.98 fair
Expected Goals2.21
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.538%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.8%
→
46.6%
-2.2 pp
Draw
27.7%
→
28.3%
+0.7 pp
Away
23.6%
→
25.1%
+1.5 pp
Over 2.5
39.5%
→
37.6%
-1.9 pp
Both teams to score
43.9%
→
43.1%
-0.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.27 →
2.21
-0.06
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.36 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — |
Both halves
| 12.1% | 8.26 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.0 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.27 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.3 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.87 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — |
Total goals
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.42 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.8 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Away team goals
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — |
Both to score
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Corners
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — |
Away corners
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — |
Cards
| 77.8% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds