Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-14
Crewe – Newport County
Home
51%
1.96 fair
Draw
25%
3.96 fair
Away
24%
4.19 fair
Expected Goals2.57
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
54.4%
→
50.9%
-3.4 pp
Draw
24.1%
→
25.2%
+1.1 pp
Away
21.5%
→
23.9%
+2.3 pp
Over 2.5
48.8%
→
47.8%
-1.1 pp
Both teams to score
50.0%
→
49.7%
-0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.64 →
2.57
-0.07
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 15.1% | 6.61 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.03 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.33 | — | |||
| 7.6% | 13.14 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.41 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.42 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.51 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Total goals
| 92.4% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — |
Both to score
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — |
Corners
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
Home corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — |
Away corners
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.98 | — |
Cards
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds