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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-14

Bristol Rvs – Chesterfield

Home 31% 3.18 fair
Draw 25% 4.08 fair
Away 44% 2.27 fair
Expected Goals2.88
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 33.2% → 31.4% -1.8 pp
Draw 25.6% → 24.5% -1.0 pp
Away 41.2% → 44.1% +2.9 pp
Over 2.5 52.7% → 54.9% +2.2 pp
Both teams to score 56.4% → 57.7% +1.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.79 → 2.88 +0.09
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.25 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.84 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.4% 3.18 —
24.5% 4.08 —
44.1% 2.27 —
55.9% 1.79 —
68.6% 1.46 —
75.5% 1.32 —

Half-time result

27.7% 3.61 —
41.4% 2.42 —
30.9% 3.23 —

Half-time double chance

69.1% 1.45 —
72.3% 1.38 —
58.6% 1.71 —

Both halves

7.3% 13.61 —

HT/FT

18.9% 5.3 —
5.7% 17.45 —
3.1% 32.47 —
10.8% 9.25 —
14.2% 7.03 —
16.3% 6.12 —
4.6% 21.88 —
24.6% 4.06 —

HT/FT double chance

49.6% 2.01 —
49.1% 2.04 —
39.4% 2.54 —
30.9% 3.24 —
48.3% 2.07 —
38.0% 2.63 —
31.3% 3.19 —
53.5% 1.87 —
59.8% 1.67 —

Total goals

94.4% 1.06 —
78.2% 1.28 —
54.9% 1.82 —
32.2% 3.11 —
21.8% 4.6 —
45.1% 2.22 —
67.8% 1.47 —

1st-half goals

71.6% 1.4 —
36.1% 2.77 —

Home team goals

72.8% 1.37 —
37.2% 2.69 —

Away team goals

79.3% 1.26 —
46.6% 2.14 —

Both to score

57.7% 1.73 —

Corners

67.1% 1.49 —
55.5% 1.8 —
44.3% 2.26 —
33.6% 2.98 —
24.4% 4.1 —
44.5% 2.24 —
55.7% 1.8 —
66.4% 1.51 —
75.6% 1.32 —

Home corners

63.2% 1.58 —
46.2% 2.17 —
31.3% 3.19 —

Away corners

64.8% 1.54 —
48.4% 2.07 —
33.5% 2.98 —

Cards

82.9% 1.21 —
68.3% 1.46 —
51.3% 1.95 —
35.7% 2.8 —
31.7% 3.15 —
48.7% 2.05 —
64.3% 1.55 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds