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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-14

Exeter – Cheltenham

Home 46% 2.15 fair
Draw 33% 3.06 fair
Away 21% 4.79 fair
Expected Goals1.71
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score31%
Over 2.525%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 35.5% → 46.4% +10.9 pp
Draw 37.1% → 32.7% -4.4 pp
Away 27.4% → 20.9% -6.5 pp
Over 2.5 18.2% → 24.9% +6.6 pp
Both teams to score 26.2% → 31.3% +5.0 pp
Expected Goals 1.45 → 1.71 +0.26
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.37 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.77 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.4% 2.15 —
32.7% 3.06 —
20.9% 4.79 —
79.1% 1.26 —
53.6% 1.87 —
67.3% 1.49 —

Half-time result

30.3% 3.3 —
62.4% 1.6 —
7.4% 13.57 —

Half-time double chance

92.6% 1.08 —
69.7% 1.43 —
37.6% 2.66 —

Both halves

10.2% 9.78 —

HT/FT

24.1% 4.15 —
4.7% 21.51 —
21.6% 4.62 —
26.3% 3.8 —
14.4% 6.93 —
4.9% 20.37 —

HT/FT double chance

76.7% 1.3 —
61.7% 1.62 —
46.9% 2.13 —
31.2% 3.21 —
31.2% 3.2 —
12.8% 7.78 —
50.4% 1.98 —
41.7% 2.4 —
47.4% 2.11 —

Total goals

81.9% 1.22 —
50.8% 1.97 —
24.9% 4.02 —
9.8% 10.25 —
49.2% 2.03 —
75.1% 1.33 —
90.2% 1.11 —

1st-half goals

40.5% 2.47 —
9.6% 10.42 —

Home team goals

66.3% 1.51 —
29.2% 3.42 —

Away team goals

46.9% 2.13 —
13.1% 7.62 —

Both to score

31.3% 3.2 —

Corners

67.8% 1.47 —
56.6% 1.77 —
45.5% 2.2 —
34.5% 2.9 —
25.5% 3.92 —
43.4% 2.3 —
54.5% 1.83 —
65.5% 1.53 —
74.5% 1.34 —

Home corners

75.2% 1.33 —
60.8% 1.65 —
45.8% 2.18 —

Away corners

51.9% 1.93 —
34.5% 2.9 —
21.2% 4.71 —

Cards

70.0% 1.43 —
50.9% 1.96 —
33.4% 3.0 —
19.7% 5.08 —
49.1% 2.04 —
66.6% 1.5 —
80.3% 1.25 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds