Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-31 15:00
Accrington – Northampton
Home
34%
2.96 fair
Draw
35%
2.87 fair
Away
31%
3.2 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-0
Accrington – Northampton
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Accrington – Northampton
Expected Goals1.62
Both teams to score31%
Over 2.522%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
38.4%
→
33.8%
-4.5 pp
Draw
35.0%
→
34.9%
-0.1 pp
Away
26.7%
→
31.3%
+4.6 pp
Over 2.5
22.9%
→
21.9%
-1.1 pp
Both teams to score
31.6%
→
30.8%
-0.8 pp
Expected Goals
1.66 →
1.62
-0.04
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
0-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — |
Both halves
| 5.9% | 16.86 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.0% | 4.77 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.04 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.33 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.09 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.13 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.11 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
Total goals
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 8.2% | 12.22 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 91.8% | 1.09 | — |
1st-half goals
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — |
Away team goals
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — |
Both to score
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — |
Corners
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
Home corners
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — |
Away corners
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — |
Cards
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds