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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-31 12:30

Grimsby – York

Home 38% 2.62 fair
Draw 24% 4.16 fair
Away 38% 2.65 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Grimsby – York
FINAL Actual Result 5–2 Grimsby – York
Expected Goals3.07
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.559%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 40.0% → 38.2% -1.8 pp
Draw 22.6% → 24.0% +1.4 pp
Away 37.4% → 37.8% +0.4 pp
Over 2.5 65.7% → 59.1% -6.6 pp
Both teams to score 66.8% → 61.6% -5.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.39 → 3.07 -0.32
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.07
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.73 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.31 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.2% 2.62 —
24.0% 4.16 —
37.8% 2.65 —
62.2% 1.61 —
61.8% 1.62 —
76.0% 1.32 —

Half-time result

29.7% 3.37 —
39.3% 2.55 —
31.1% 3.22 —

Half-time double chance

69.0% 1.45 —
70.3% 1.42 —
60.7% 1.65 —

Both halves

10.1% 9.88 —

HT/FT

22.1% 4.54 —
5.1% 19.53 —
13.4% 7.49 —
13.3% 7.54 —
12.7% 7.9 —
5.6% 17.76 —
22.6% 4.42 —

HT/FT double chance

53.8% 1.86 —
50.6% 1.98 —
33.5% 2.98 —
35.6% 2.81 —
50.0% 2.0 —
35.8% 2.79 —
35.1% 2.85 —
51.4% 1.94 —
54.2% 1.85 —

Total goals

95.4% 1.05 —
81.0% 1.23 —
59.1% 1.69 —
36.7% 2.73 —
19.0% 5.26 —
40.9% 2.44 —
63.3% 1.58 —

1st-half goals

74.1% 1.35 —
39.0% 2.57 —

Home team goals

78.5% 1.27 —
45.4% 2.2 —

Away team goals

78.5% 1.27 —
45.1% 2.21 —

Both to score

61.6% 1.62 —

Corners

79.2% 1.26 —
70.0% 1.43 —
59.7% 1.68 —
49.1% 2.04 —
39.0% 2.56 —
30.0% 3.33 —
40.4% 2.48 —
50.9% 1.96 —
61.0% 1.64 —

Home corners

80.8% 1.24 —
67.7% 1.48 —
53.7% 1.86 —

Away corners

64.3% 1.56 —
47.3% 2.12 —
33.0% 3.03 —

Cards

77.3% 1.29 —
60.1% 1.66 —
42.7% 2.34 —
27.6% 3.62 —
39.9% 2.51 —
57.3% 1.75 —
72.4% 1.38 —

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