Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-30 19:45
Newport County – Chesterfield
Home
26%
3.89 fair
Draw
24%
4.13 fair
Away
50%
2.0 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Newport County – Chesterfield
FINAL
Actual Result
4–1
Newport County – Chesterfield
Expected Goals2.84
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.7%
→
25.7%
+1.0 pp
Draw
24.0%
→
24.2%
+0.2 pp
Away
51.3%
→
50.1%
-1.1 pp
Over 2.5
54.6%
→
54.1%
-0.5 pp
Both teams to score
56.2%
→
56.1%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.86 →
2.84
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — |
Both halves
| 5.1% | 19.57 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.7% | 6.81 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.69 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.74 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.04 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.04 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.37 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Total goals
| 94.2% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
Both to score
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
Corners
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — |
Home corners
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — |
Away corners
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
Cards
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds