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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-24 14:00

York – Port Vale

Home 46% 2.16 fair
Draw 26% 3.81 fair
Away 28% 3.63 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 York – Port Vale
FINAL Actual Result 2–0 York – Port Vale
Expected Goals2.5
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 53.1% → 46.3% -6.9 pp
Draw 22.5% → 26.2% +3.7 pp
Away 24.3% → 27.5% +3.2 pp
Over 2.5 56.9% → 45.9% -11.0 pp
Both teams to score 56.9% → 49.7% -7.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.96 → 2.5 -0.46
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.27 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.91 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.3% 2.16 —
26.2% 3.81 —
27.5% 3.63 —
72.5% 1.38 —
53.7% 1.86 —
73.8% 1.36 —

Half-time result

30.8% 3.25 —
47.7% 2.09 —
21.5% 4.65 —

Half-time double chance

78.5% 1.27 —
69.2% 1.44 —
52.3% 1.91 —

Both halves

12.2% 8.17 —

HT/FT

24.5% 4.07 —
4.5% 22.03 —
19.1% 5.25 —
16.9% 5.9 —
11.7% 8.53 —
4.7% 21.1 —
14.1% 7.09 —

HT/FT double chance

65.1% 1.54 —
57.0% 1.75 —
34.9% 2.87 —
36.5% 2.74 —
43.0% 2.33 —
25.1% 3.99 —
43.4% 2.3 —
47.6% 2.1 —
47.5% 2.1 —

Total goals

91.7% 1.09 —
71.2% 1.4 —
45.9% 2.18 —
24.1% 4.15 —
28.8% 3.48 —
54.1% 1.85 —
75.9% 1.32 —

1st-half goals

61.0% 1.64 —
23.9% 4.19 —

Home team goals

76.6% 1.31 —
42.5% 2.35 —

Away team goals

64.9% 1.54 —
28.1% 3.56 —

Both to score

49.7% 2.01 —

Corners

75.9% 1.32 —
66.3% 1.51 —
55.7% 1.8 —
44.5% 2.25 —
34.5% 2.9 —
33.7% 2.97 —
44.3% 2.26 —
55.5% 1.8 —
65.5% 1.53 —

Home corners

80.9% 1.24 —
68.0% 1.47 —
53.9% 1.86 —

Away corners

56.9% 1.76 —
40.2% 2.49 —
25.7% 3.89 —

Cards

72.2% 1.39 —
53.2% 1.88 —
35.4% 2.83 —
21.4% 4.66 —
46.8% 2.13 —
64.6% 1.55 —
78.6% 1.27 —

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