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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-24 14:00

Rochdale – Accrington

Home 40% 2.53 fair
Draw 26% 3.79 fair
Away 34% 2.94 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Rochdale – Accrington
FINAL Actual Result 0–5 Rochdale – Accrington
Expected Goals2.6
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 35.0% → 39.5% +4.5 pp
Draw 26.5% → 26.4% -0.1 pp
Away 38.5% → 34.1% -4.4 pp
Over 2.5 46.1% → 48.0% +1.9 pp
Both teams to score 51.2% → 52.7% +1.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.51 → 2.6 +0.09
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.87 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.2 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.5% 2.53 —
26.4% 3.79 —
34.1% 2.94 —
65.9% 1.52 —
60.5% 1.65 —
73.6% 1.36 —

Half-time result

27.4% 3.65 —
40.9% 2.45 —
31.7% 3.15 —

Half-time double chance

68.3% 1.46 —
72.6% 1.38 —
59.1% 1.69 —

Both halves

9.6% 10.46 —

HT/FT

22.1% 4.54 —
4.0% 25.19 —
14.8% 6.77 —
15.9% 6.3 —
10.2% 9.78 —
6.6% 15.22 —
22.5% 4.45 —

HT/FT double chance

56.7% 1.76 —
48.4% 2.06 —
31.4% 3.18 —
35.3% 2.83 —
48.6% 2.06 —
34.4% 2.91 —
39.9% 2.51 —
50.2% 1.99 —
55.1% 1.81 —

Total goals

92.7% 1.08 —
73.1% 1.37 —
48.0% 2.08 —
26.6% 3.77 —
26.9% 3.72 —
52.0% 1.92 —
73.5% 1.36 —

1st-half goals

71.4% 1.4 —
35.2% 2.84 —

Home team goals

74.0% 1.35 —
39.3% 2.54 —

Away team goals

71.4% 1.4 —
35.2% 2.84 —

Both to score

52.7% 1.9 —

Corners

72.9% 1.37 —
61.9% 1.61 —
50.9% 1.96 —
39.9% 2.5 —
30.3% 3.3 —
38.1% 2.63 —
49.0% 2.04 —
60.1% 1.67 —
69.7% 1.43 —

Home corners

76.5% 1.31 —
62.0% 1.61 —
47.3% 2.11 —

Away corners

58.6% 1.71 —
41.3% 2.42 —
27.1% 3.69 —

Cards

76.0% 1.32 —
58.1% 1.72 —
40.4% 2.48 —
25.8% 3.88 —
41.9% 2.39 —
59.6% 1.68 —
74.2% 1.35 —

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