Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-24 14:00
Chesterfield – Crewe
Home
47%
2.11 fair
Draw
25%
3.98 fair
Away
27%
3.64 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Chesterfield – Crewe
FINAL
Actual Result
5–1
Chesterfield – Crewe
Expected Goals2.6
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.7%
→
47.4%
-1.3 pp
Draw
26.0%
→
25.1%
-0.9 pp
Away
25.3%
→
27.4%
+2.1 pp
Over 2.5
46.6%
→
48.4%
+1.9 pp
Both teams to score
49.8%
→
51.3%
+1.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.52 →
2.6
+0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 13.6% | 7.34 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.53 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.37 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.48 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 10.04 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.88 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.25 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — |
Total goals
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — |
Both to score
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — |
Corners
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Away corners
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.33 | — |
Cards
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds