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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-24 11:30

Northampton – Colchester

Home 32% 3.14 fair
Draw 37% 2.67 fair
Away 31% 3.25 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 0-0 Northampton – Colchester
FINAL Actual Result 2–0 Northampton – Colchester
Expected Goals1.45
Both teams to score26%
Over 2.518%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 27.8% → 31.8% +4.1 pp
Draw 37.4% → 37.4% +0.1 pp
Away 34.9% → 30.8% -4.1 pp
Over 2.5 19.2% → 17.8% -1.4 pp
Both teams to score 28.4% → 26.5% -1.9 pp
Expected Goals 1.51 → 1.45 -0.06
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 0-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.37 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.11 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.8% 3.14 —
37.4% 2.67 —
30.8% 3.25 —
69.2% 1.44 —
68.2% 1.47 —
62.6% 1.6 —

Half-time result

26.4% 3.79 —
52.8% 1.89 —
20.8% 4.81 —

Half-time double chance

79.2% 1.26 —
73.6% 1.36 —
47.1% 2.12 —

Both halves

5.2% 19.08 —

HT/FT

21.2% 4.71 —
4.3% 23.36 —
10.2% 9.82 —
30.0% 3.33 —
12.6% 7.92 —
3.1% 32.47 —
17.3% 5.79 —

HT/FT double chance

65.7% 1.52 —
44.9% 2.23 —
47.8% 2.09 —
29.0% 3.45 —
39.8% 2.51 —
25.5% 3.92 —
43.8% 2.29 —
40.5% 2.47 —
63.0% 1.59 —

Total goals

76.6% 1.3 —
42.5% 2.35 —
17.8% 5.61 —
6.0% 16.64 —
57.5% 1.74 —
82.2% 1.22 —
94.0% 1.06 —

1st-half goals

54.2% 1.84 —
18.1% 5.52 —

Home team goals

52.1% 1.92 —
16.9% 5.92 —

Away team goals

51.0% 1.96 —
16.1% 6.2 —

Both to score

26.5% 3.78 —

Corners

68.2% 1.47 —
56.4% 1.77 —
44.8% 2.23 —
34.5% 2.9 —
25.6% 3.91 —
43.6% 2.3 —
55.2% 1.81 —
65.5% 1.53 —
74.4% 1.34 —

Home corners

75.7% 1.32 —
61.7% 1.62 —
46.7% 2.14 —

Away corners

50.7% 1.97 —
33.8% 2.96 —
20.6% 4.85 —

Cards

75.0% 1.33 —
56.9% 1.76 —
39.2% 2.55 —
24.4% 4.11 —
43.1% 2.32 —
60.8% 1.64 —
75.6% 1.32 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds