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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-24 11:30

Cheltenham – Newport County

Home 47% 2.13 fair
Draw 24% 4.24 fair
Away 29% 3.4 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Cheltenham – Newport County
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 Cheltenham – Newport County
Expected Goals3.12
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.560%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.9% → 47.0% -3.9 pp
Draw 22.5% → 23.6% +1.1 pp
Away 26.6% → 29.4% +2.8 pp
Over 2.5 61.4% → 60.4% -1.0 pp
Both teams to score 61.4% → 61.8% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.18 → 3.12 -0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.42 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.88 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.0% 2.13 —
23.6% 4.24 —
29.4% 3.4 —
70.6% 1.42 —
53.0% 1.89 —
76.4% 1.31 —

Half-time result

31.4% 3.19 —
43.6% 2.29 —
25.0% 4.0 —

Half-time double chance

75.0% 1.33 —
68.6% 1.46 —
56.4% 1.77 —

Both halves

13.5% 7.4 —

HT/FT

24.8% 4.04 —
4.5% 22.17 —
18.5% 5.41 —
13.7% 7.33 —
11.5% 8.7 —
3.8% 26.6 —
5.4% 18.55 —
15.8% 6.32 —

HT/FT double chance

61.4% 1.63 —
56.9% 1.76 —
31.8% 3.15 —
38.4% 2.6 —
46.5% 2.15 —
27.8% 3.59 —
41.3% 2.42 —
49.6% 2.02 —
46.4% 2.16 —

Total goals

95.6% 1.05 —
82.0% 1.22 —
60.4% 1.66 —
37.5% 2.66 —
18.0% 5.56 —
39.6% 2.52 —
62.5% 1.6 —

1st-half goals

68.0% 1.47 —
32.4% 3.08 —

Home team goals

83.1% 1.2 —
52.5% 1.91 —

Away team goals

74.2% 1.35 —
38.8% 2.58 —

Both to score

61.8% 1.62 —

Corners

68.6% 1.46 —
57.2% 1.75 —
45.8% 2.18 —
35.3% 2.83 —
25.9% 3.86 —
42.8% 2.34 —
54.2% 1.85 —
64.7% 1.55 —
74.1% 1.35 —

Home corners

74.5% 1.34 —
59.8% 1.67 —
44.8% 2.23 —

Away corners

53.9% 1.85 —
36.7% 2.73 —
23.3% 4.3 —

Cards

71.7% 1.4 —
52.8% 1.9 —
34.6% 2.89 —
21.1% 4.74 —
47.2% 2.12 —
65.3% 1.53 —
78.9% 1.27 —

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