Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-24 11:30
Cheltenham – Newport County
Home
47%
2.13 fair
Draw
24%
4.24 fair
Away
29%
3.4 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Cheltenham – Newport County
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Cheltenham – Newport County
Expected Goals3.12
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.9%
→
47.0%
-3.9 pp
Draw
22.5%
→
23.6%
+1.1 pp
Away
26.6%
→
29.4%
+2.8 pp
Over 2.5
61.4%
→
60.4%
-1.0 pp
Both teams to score
61.4%
→
61.8%
+0.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.18 →
3.12
-0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — |
Both halves
| 13.5% | 7.4 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.17 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.33 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.7 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.6 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.55 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — |
Total goals
| 95.6% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.56 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — |
Both to score
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — |
Corners
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
Away corners
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — |
Cards
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds