Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-20 18:45
York – Accrington
Home
62%
1.61 fair
Draw
20%
4.98 fair
Away
18%
5.66 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
York – Accrington
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
York – Accrington
Expected Goals3.2
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
64.6%
→
62.2%
-2.4 pp
Draw
18.6%
→
20.1%
+1.5 pp
Away
16.8%
→
17.7%
+0.9 pp
Over 2.5
67.1%
→
62.3%
-4.8 pp
Both teams to score
61.5%
→
58.0%
-3.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.48 →
3.2
-0.28
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.98 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.66 | — | |||
| 82.3% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.57 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — |
Both halves
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — |
HT/FT
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.93 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.88 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 9.0 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.1 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.59 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.62 | — | |||
| 10.2% | 9.84 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.89 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — |
Total goals
| 95.9% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.7% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.77 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — |
Both to score
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Away corners
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — |
Cards
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds