Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-20 18:45
Rotherham – Newport County
Home
39%
2.54 fair
Draw
25%
4.01 fair
Away
36%
2.8 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Rotherham – Newport County
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Rotherham – Newport County
Expected Goals2.9
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.6%
→
39.3%
-17.3 pp
Draw
22.0%
→
24.9%
+3.0 pp
Away
21.4%
→
35.8%
+14.4 pp
Over 2.5
60.4%
→
55.1%
-5.2 pp
Both teams to score
59.0%
→
58.7%
-0.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.13 →
2.9
-0.23
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — |
Both halves
| 10.2% | 9.78 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.4% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.99 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.0 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.9 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.54 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.41 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
Total goals
| 94.5% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Both to score
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Corners
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — |
Away corners
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — |
Cards
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds