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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-20 18:45

Rochdale – Grimsby

Home 31% 3.18 fair
Draw 25% 3.99 fair
Away 43% 2.3 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Rochdale – Grimsby
FINAL Actual Result 2–2 Rochdale – Grimsby
Expected Goals2.75
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 24.2% → 31.4% +7.2 pp
Draw 24.7% → 25.1% +0.4 pp
Away 51.1% → 43.5% -7.6 pp
Over 2.5 50.4% → 51.9% +1.5 pp
Both teams to score 52.3% → 55.2% +2.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.68 → 2.75 +0.07
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.25 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.83 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.4% 3.18 —
25.1% 3.99 —
43.5% 2.3 —
56.5% 1.77 —
68.6% 1.46 —
74.9% 1.33 —

Half-time result

20.8% 4.8 —
35.7% 2.8 —
43.4% 2.3 —

Half-time double chance

56.6% 1.77 —
79.2% 1.26 —
64.2% 1.56 —

Both halves

7.0% 14.33 —

HT/FT

16.4% 6.12 —
3.4% 29.76 —
12.2% 8.22 —
14.5% 6.91 —
9.1% 10.99 —
7.2% 13.83 —
33.3% 3.01 —

HT/FT double chance

46.4% 2.16 —
38.8% 2.58 —
28.1% 3.56 —
29.9% 3.35 —
53.7% 1.86 —
45.0% 2.22 —
36.8% 2.72 —
57.5% 1.74 —
64.1% 1.56 —

Total goals

93.6% 1.07 —
76.2% 1.31 —
51.9% 1.93 —
29.8% 3.36 —
23.8% 4.2 —
48.1% 2.08 —
70.2% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

77.6% 1.29 —
44.1% 2.27 —

Home team goals

70.8% 1.41 —
35.4% 2.83 —

Away team goals

78.0% 1.28 —
44.5% 2.25 —

Both to score

55.2% 1.81 —

Corners

75.5% 1.32 —
65.7% 1.52 —
55.0% 1.82 —
44.6% 2.24 —
34.4% 2.91 —
34.3% 2.92 —
45.0% 2.22 —
55.4% 1.8 —
65.6% 1.52 —

Home corners

72.1% 1.39 —
56.6% 1.77 —
41.6% 2.41 —

Away corners

69.4% 1.44 —
53.6% 1.86 —
38.4% 2.61 —

Cards

70.9% 1.41 —
51.4% 1.94 —
33.7% 2.97 —
20.5% 4.89 —
48.6% 2.06 —
66.3% 1.51 —
79.5% 1.26 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds