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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-20 18:45

Northampton – Tranmere

Home 44% 2.26 fair
Draw 33% 3.05 fair
Away 23% 4.35 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Northampton – Tranmere
FINAL Actual Result 0–1 Northampton – Tranmere
Expected Goals1.75
Both teams to score33%
Over 2.526%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.0% → 44.2% +7.3 pp
Draw 33.9% → 32.8% -1.2 pp
Away 29.1% → 23.0% -6.1 pp
Over 2.5 23.8% → 25.6% +1.8 pp
Both teams to score 32.0% → 32.8% +0.8 pp
Expected Goals 1.68 → 1.75 +0.07
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.74 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.16 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

44.2% 2.26 —
32.8% 3.05 —
23.0% 4.35 —
77.0% 1.3 —
55.8% 1.79 —
67.2% 1.49 —

Half-time result

34.0% 2.94 —
51.7% 1.93 —
14.3% 6.99 —

Half-time double chance

85.7% 1.17 —
66.0% 1.51 —
48.3% 2.07 —

Both halves

10.0% 10.04 —

HT/FT

27.8% 3.59 —
5.1% 19.8 —
15.5% 6.44 —
24.7% 4.05 —
11.5% 8.69 —
3.0% 33.22 —
10.4% 9.61 —

HT/FT double chance

73.1% 1.37 —
55.9% 1.79 —
42.3% 2.36 —
36.8% 2.72 —
40.2% 2.49 —
19.6% 5.11 —
44.1% 2.27 —
38.3% 2.61 —
49.6% 2.01 —

Total goals

82.5% 1.21 —
52.2% 1.91 —
25.6% 3.91 —
9.9% 10.07 —
47.7% 2.09 —
74.4% 1.34 —
90.1% 1.11 —

1st-half goals

54.9% 1.82 —
18.9% 5.28 —

Home team goals

65.6% 1.53 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Away team goals

49.7% 2.01 —
14.9% 6.72 —

Both to score

32.8% 3.05 —

Corners

71.4% 1.4 —
60.3% 1.66 —
49.4% 2.02 —
38.8% 2.58 —
29.6% 3.38 —
39.7% 2.52 —
50.6% 1.98 —
61.3% 1.63 —
70.4% 1.42 —

Home corners

80.5% 1.24 —
67.7% 1.48 —
53.0% 1.89 —

Away corners

49.2% 2.03 —
31.8% 3.14 —
19.3% 5.17 —

Cards

75.3% 1.33 —
57.5% 1.74 —
39.8% 2.51 —
25.1% 3.98 —
42.5% 2.35 —
60.2% 1.66 —
74.9% 1.34 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds