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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-20 18:45

Exeter – Crewe

Home 28% 3.55 fair
Draw 46% 2.17 fair
Away 26% 3.88 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 0-0 Exeter – Crewe
FINAL Actual Result 2–0 Exeter – Crewe
Expected Goals1.01
Both teams to score15%
Over 2.58%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.5% → 28.1% -0.4 pp
Draw 42.7% → 46.1% +3.4 pp
Away 28.8% → 25.8% -3.1 pp
Over 2.5 11.4% → 8.2% -3.3 pp
Both teams to score 20.4% → 15.4% -5.0 pp
Expected Goals 1.18 → 1.01 -0.17
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 0-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.41 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.0 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.1% 3.55 —
46.1% 2.17 —
25.8% 3.88 —
74.2% 1.35 —
71.9% 1.39 —
53.9% 1.85 —

Half-time result

16.8% 5.97 —
70.8% 1.41 —
12.5% 8.0 —

Half-time double chance

87.5% 1.14 —
83.2% 1.2 —
29.2% 3.42 —

Both halves

3.5% 28.57 —

HT/FT

13.7% 7.32 —
14.1% 7.08 —
41.3% 2.42 —
15.3% 6.54 —
10.1% 9.89 —

HT/FT double chance

71.9% 1.39 —
43.5% 2.3 —
59.7% 1.67 —
18.8% 5.32 —
24.5% 4.08 —
15.2% 6.57 —
57.9% 1.73 —
39.9% 2.51 —
68.8% 1.45 —

Total goals

63.5% 1.57 —
26.6% 3.77 —
8.2% 12.24 —
73.5% 1.36 —
91.8% 1.09 —

1st-half goals

31.8% 3.15 —
5.7% 17.61 —

Home team goals

40.5% 2.47 —
9.8% 10.16 —

Away team goals

38.5% 2.6 —
8.5% 11.79 —

Both to score

15.4% 6.51 —

Corners

68.9% 1.45 —
57.3% 1.75 —
45.7% 2.19 —
35.2% 2.84 —
25.6% 3.9 —
42.7% 2.34 —
54.3% 1.84 —
64.8% 1.54 —
74.4% 1.34 —

Home corners

72.6% 1.38 —
57.3% 1.75 —
41.9% 2.38 —

Away corners

57.3% 1.74 —
39.6% 2.52 —
25.4% 3.94 —

Cards

73.6% 1.36 —
54.9% 1.82 —
37.3% 2.68 —
22.9% 4.37 —
45.1% 2.22 —
62.7% 1.6 —
77.1% 1.3 —

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