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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-20 18:45

Chesterfield – Colchester

Home 48% 2.09 fair
Draw 26% 3.81 fair
Away 26% 3.87 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Chesterfield – Colchester
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Chesterfield – Colchester
Expected Goals2.52
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 48.2% → 47.9% -0.3 pp
Draw 26.2% → 26.3% +0.1 pp
Away 25.7% → 25.9% +0.2 pp
Over 2.5 45.1% → 45.9% +0.8 pp
Both teams to score 48.5% → 49.8% +1.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.47 → 2.52 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.58 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.47 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.9% 2.09 —
26.3% 3.81 —
25.9% 3.87 —
74.2% 1.35 —
52.1% 1.92 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Half-time result

33.5% 2.99 —
43.0% 2.33 —
23.6% 4.24 —

Half-time double chance

76.4% 1.31 —
66.5% 1.5 —
57.0% 1.75 —

Both halves

13.4% 7.49 —

HT/FT

28.1% 3.57 —
4.2% 23.7 —
17.1% 5.84 —
16.8% 5.95 —
9.0% 11.06 —
5.2% 19.05 —
15.6% 6.4 —

HT/FT double chance

66.2% 1.51 —
55.4% 1.8 —
31.3% 3.2 —
40.2% 2.49 —
47.5% 2.1 —
26.3% 3.8 —
41.9% 2.39 —
44.5% 2.25 —
46.7% 2.14 —

Total goals

91.8% 1.09 —
71.5% 1.4 —
45.9% 2.18 —
24.9% 4.02 —
28.5% 3.51 —
54.1% 1.85 —
75.1% 1.33 —

1st-half goals

68.5% 1.46 —
32.6% 3.06 —

Home team goals

77.5% 1.29 —
43.7% 2.29 —

Away team goals

64.1% 1.56 —
27.7% 3.61 —

Both to score

49.8% 2.01 —

Corners

70.5% 1.42 —
59.3% 1.69 —
47.9% 2.09 —
37.3% 2.68 —
27.8% 3.6 —
40.7% 2.46 —
52.1% 1.92 —
62.7% 1.59 —
72.2% 1.38 —

Home corners

79.1% 1.26 —
65.7% 1.52 —
51.4% 1.95 —

Away corners

48.9% 2.05 —
31.6% 3.17 —
18.9% 5.3 —

Cards

79.0% 1.27 —
62.4% 1.6 —
45.1% 2.21 —
29.9% 3.35 —
37.6% 2.66 —
54.9% 1.82 —
70.1% 1.43 —

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