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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-20 18:45

Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town

Home 36% 2.79 fair
Draw 25% 3.94 fair
Away 39% 2.58 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town
FINAL Actual Result 4–2 Cheltenham – Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals2.74
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.7% → 35.9% -1.8 pp
Draw 25.6% → 25.4% -0.2 pp
Away 36.7% → 38.7% +2.0 pp
Over 2.5 53.0% → 51.8% -1.2 pp
Both teams to score 57.1% → 55.5% -1.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.81 → 2.74 -0.07
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.79 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.95 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

35.9% 2.79 —
25.4% 3.94 —
38.7% 2.58 —
61.3% 1.63 —
64.1% 1.56 —
74.6% 1.34 —

Half-time result

24.3% 4.12 —
46.5% 2.15 —
29.2% 3.42 —

Half-time double chance

70.8% 1.41 —
75.7% 1.32 —
53.5% 1.87 —

Both halves

8.2% 12.22 —

HT/FT

17.5% 5.72 —
4.6% 21.79 —
15.6% 6.43 —
15.6% 6.43 —
15.4% 6.51 —
5.3% 19.01 —
21.1% 4.73 —

HT/FT double chance

53.2% 1.88 —
50.6% 1.98 —
37.7% 2.65 —
30.2% 3.31 —
43.7% 2.29 —
33.2% 3.01 —
39.2% 2.55 —
54.9% 1.82 —
57.3% 1.74 —

Total goals

93.6% 1.07 —
75.9% 1.32 —
51.8% 1.93 —
29.4% 3.4 —
24.1% 4.15 —
48.2% 2.07 —
70.6% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

63.4% 1.58 —
26.7% 3.75 —

Home team goals

73.6% 1.36 —
38.7% 2.58 —

Away team goals

75.5% 1.32 —
40.8% 2.45 —

Both to score

55.5% 1.8 —

Corners

71.9% 1.39 —
61.2% 1.63 —
50.0% 2.0 —
39.3% 2.54 —
29.9% 3.35 —
38.8% 2.58 —
50.0% 2.0 —
60.7% 1.65 —
70.1% 1.43 —

Home corners

68.4% 1.46 —
52.0% 1.92 —
37.0% 2.7 —

Away corners

67.4% 1.48 —
51.5% 1.94 —
36.3% 2.75 —

Cards

72.7% 1.37 —
53.7% 1.86 —
36.1% 2.77 —
22.0% 4.55 —
46.3% 2.16 —
63.9% 1.57 —
78.0% 1.28 —

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