Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-20 18:45
Barnet – Swindon
Home
56%
1.77 fair
Draw
21%
4.74 fair
Away
22%
4.46 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Barnet – Swindon
FINAL
Actual Result
1–3
Barnet – Swindon
Expected Goals3.32
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.565%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
54.7%
→
56.5%
+1.8 pp
Draw
21.3%
→
21.1%
-0.2 pp
Away
24.0%
→
22.4%
-1.6 pp
Over 2.5
65.7%
→
64.8%
-0.8 pp
Both teams to score
63.7%
→
62.0%
-1.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.39 →
3.32
-0.07
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
Both halves
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — |
HT/FT
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.47 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.9 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.83 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.66 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.38 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.8 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.31 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — |
Total goals
| 96.2% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.34 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.3% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — |
Both to score
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — |
Corners
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — |
Home corners
| 90.6% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 82.7% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — |
Away corners
| 47.7% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — |
Cards
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds