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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-17 14:00

Swindon – Walsall

Home 42% 2.4 fair
Draw 25% 4.0 fair
Away 33% 2.99 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Swindon – Walsall
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 Swindon – Walsall
Expected Goals2.78
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.553%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.8% → 41.6% -1.3 pp
Draw 24.9% → 25.0% +0.1 pp
Away 32.2% → 33.4% +1.2 pp
Over 2.5 54.2% → 52.8% -1.4 pp
Both teams to score 57.7% → 56.5% -1.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.87 → 2.78 -0.09
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.93 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.5 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

41.6% 2.4 —
25.0% 4.0 —
33.4% 2.99 —
66.6% 1.5 —
58.4% 1.71 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Half-time result

29.2% 3.43 —
44.6% 2.24 —
26.2% 3.82 —

Half-time double chance

73.8% 1.35 —
70.8% 1.41 —
55.4% 1.81 —

Both halves

10.6% 9.47 —

HT/FT

22.1% 4.51 —
4.8% 20.88 —
16.6% 6.04 —
15.1% 6.61 —
13.0% 7.72 —
5.1% 19.61 —
18.2% 5.49 —

HT/FT double chance

58.6% 1.71 —
53.9% 1.86 —
35.1% 2.85 —
34.9% 2.86 —
45.5% 2.2 —
30.3% 3.3 —
39.6% 2.52 —
50.6% 1.98 —
51.4% 1.95 —

Total goals

93.9% 1.07 —
76.7% 1.3 —
52.8% 1.89 —
30.6% 3.27 —
23.3% 4.3 —
47.2% 2.12 —
69.4% 1.44 —

1st-half goals

66.1% 1.51 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Home team goals

77.3% 1.29 —
43.7% 2.29 —

Away team goals

73.0% 1.37 —
37.3% 2.68 —

Both to score

56.5% 1.77 —

Corners

81.2% 1.23 —
71.6% 1.4 —
62.0% 1.61 —
51.2% 1.95 —
40.9% 2.44 —
28.4% 3.52 —
38.0% 2.64 —
48.8% 2.05 —
59.1% 1.69 —

Home corners

78.3% 1.28 —
64.5% 1.55 —
49.9% 2.01 —

Away corners

71.1% 1.41 —
55.6% 1.8 —
40.5% 2.47 —

Cards

66.0% 1.52 —
45.4% 2.2 —
28.0% 3.57 —
15.7% 6.37 —
54.6% 1.83 —
72.0% 1.39 —
84.3% 1.19 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds