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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-17 14:00

Salford – Crawley Town

Home 58% 1.71 fair
Draw 23% 4.34 fair
Away 18% 5.41 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Salford – Crawley Town
FINAL Actual Result 2–1 Salford – Crawley Town
Expected Goals2.66
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.550%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 56.9% → 58.5% +1.6 pp
Draw 23.5% → 23.0% -0.5 pp
Away 19.6% → 18.5% -1.1 pp
Over 2.5 49.1% → 49.6% +0.5 pp
Both teams to score 48.8% → 48.8% +0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.62 → 2.66 +0.04
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.02 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.57 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

58.5% 1.71 —
23.0% 4.34 —
18.5% 5.41 —
81.5% 1.23 —
41.5% 2.41 —
77.0% 1.3 —

Half-time result

40.0% 2.5 —
44.1% 2.27 —
15.9% 6.28 —

Half-time double chance

84.1% 1.19 —
60.0% 1.67 —
55.9% 1.79 —

Both halves

19.4% 5.17 —

HT/FT

34.7% 2.88 —
4.1% 24.39 —
20.9% 4.78 —
14.9% 6.7 —
8.2% 12.14 —
4.0% 24.94 —
9.0% 11.11 —

HT/FT double chance

74.6% 1.34 —
65.0% 1.54 —
28.5% 3.51 —
45.7% 2.19 —
47.8% 2.09 —
18.4% 5.45 —
42.8% 2.34 —
41.1% 2.43 —
36.2% 2.76 —

Total goals

92.6% 1.08 —
74.1% 1.35 —
49.6% 2.02 —
28.0% 3.58 —
25.9% 3.86 —
50.4% 1.98 —
72.0% 1.39 —

1st-half goals

65.0% 1.54 —
28.9% 3.46 —

Home team goals

82.7% 1.21 —
53.0% 1.89 —

Away team goals

58.7% 1.7 —
22.2% 4.5 —

Both to score

48.8% 2.05 —

Corners

81.3% 1.23 —
72.6% 1.38 —
62.6% 1.6 —
52.1% 1.92 —
41.9% 2.39 —
27.4% 3.64 —
37.5% 2.67 —
47.9% 2.09 —
58.1% 1.72 —

Home corners

85.7% 1.17 —
75.1% 1.33 —
62.7% 1.6 —

Away corners

58.5% 1.71 —
41.3% 2.42 —
26.8% 3.73 —

Cards

80.1% 1.25 —
63.9% 1.57 —
46.8% 2.14 —
31.8% 3.14 —
36.1% 2.77 —
53.2% 1.88 —
68.2% 1.47 —

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