Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-17 14:00
Port Vale – Chesterfield
Home
37%
2.71 fair
Draw
28%
3.58 fair
Away
35%
2.84 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Port Vale – Chesterfield
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Port Vale – Chesterfield
Expected Goals2.34
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.7%
→
36.9%
+2.2 pp
Draw
28.4%
→
27.9%
-0.5 pp
Away
36.9%
→
35.2%
-1.7 pp
Over 2.5
40.5%
→
41.7%
+1.1 pp
Both teams to score
47.2%
→
47.8%
+0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.31 →
2.34
+0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Both halves
| 8.2% | 12.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.97 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.07 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.59 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.17 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.76 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.15 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — |
Total goals
| 90.4% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.82 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — |
Both to score
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — |
Corners
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — |
Home corners
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — |
Away corners
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — |
Cards
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds