Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-17 14:00
Newport County – York
Home
22%
4.45 fair
Draw
21%
4.82 fair
Away
57%
1.76 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-2
Newport County – York
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Newport County – York
Expected Goals3.45
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.567%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
23.2%
→
22.5%
-0.8 pp
Draw
20.3%
→
20.7%
+0.4 pp
Away
56.5%
→
56.8%
+0.3 pp
Over 2.5
69.5%
→
66.9%
-2.6 pp
Both teams to score
66.5%
→
64.2%
-2.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.59 →
3.45
-0.14
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.82 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
Both halves
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.5% | 7.4 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.1 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.36 | — | |||
| 7.6% | 13.09 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.21 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.25 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.53 | — |
Total goals
| 96.8% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 7.01 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — |
Away team goals
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — |
Both to score
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
Corners
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — |
Away corners
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — |
Cards
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds