Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-17 14:00
Grimsby – Northampton
Home
46%
2.2 fair
Draw
32%
3.11 fair
Away
22%
4.49 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Grimsby – Northampton
FINAL
Actual Result
0–2
Grimsby – Northampton
Expected Goals1.75
Both teams to score32%
Over 2.526%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
49.9%
→
45.5%
-4.4 pp
Draw
30.4%
→
32.2%
+1.8 pp
Away
19.7%
→
22.3%
+2.6 pp
Over 2.5
28.1%
→
25.6%
-2.5 pp
Both teams to score
32.2%
→
31.7%
-0.5 pp
Expected Goals
1.82 →
1.75
-0.07
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.49 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Both halves
| 10.8% | 9.23 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 28.01 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.59 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.31 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.94 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.74 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — |
Total goals
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.9 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 89.9% | 1.11 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — |
Away team goals
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.04 | — |
Both to score
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — |
Corners
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — |
Away corners
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.42 | — |
Cards
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds