Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-17 14:00
Crewe – Rochdale
Home
51%
1.97 fair
Draw
26%
3.8 fair
Away
23%
4.38 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Crewe – Rochdale
FINAL
Actual Result
3–2
Crewe – Rochdale
Expected Goals2.33
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.1%
→
50.8%
-5.2 pp
Draw
24.8%
→
26.4%
+1.5 pp
Away
19.1%
→
22.8%
+3.7 pp
Over 2.5
45.4%
→
41.9%
-3.4 pp
Both teams to score
46.1%
→
45.0%
-1.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.48 →
2.33
-0.15
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.88 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 14.2% | 7.06 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.83 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.81 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.78 | — | |||
| 7.8% | 12.9 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.46 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.13 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — |
Total goals
| 90.3% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.86 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Away team goals
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — |
Both to score
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Corners
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — |
Away corners
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — |
Cards
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds