Fixtures / League Two / 2026-10-17 14:00
Accrington – Gillingham
Home
41%
2.46 fair
Draw
28%
3.6 fair
Away
32%
3.17 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Accrington – Gillingham
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Accrington – Gillingham
Expected Goals2.3
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
40.3%
→
40.7%
+0.4 pp
Draw
27.8%
→
27.8%
-0.0 pp
Away
31.9%
→
31.5%
-0.4 pp
Over 2.5
41.9%
→
40.6%
-1.3 pp
Both teams to score
47.9%
→
46.2%
-1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.36 →
2.3
-0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.64 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.3% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — |
Both halves
| 10.6% | 9.46 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.36 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.89 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.52 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.47 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 31.95 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.5 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — |
Total goals
| 90.0% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — |
Both to score
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — |
Corners
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — |
Home corners
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — |
Away corners
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.53 | — |
Cards
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds