Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-08 17:30
Sp Gijon – Valladolid
Home
50%
2.01 fair
Draw
25%
3.94 fair
Away
25%
4.03 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Sp Gijon – Valladolid
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Sp Gijon – Valladolid
Expected Goals2.59
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
52.1%
→
49.8%
-2.3 pp
Draw
26.1%
→
25.4%
-0.7 pp
Away
21.8%
→
24.8%
+3.0 pp
Over 2.5
40.5%
→
47.7%
+7.3 pp
Both teams to score
43.5%
→
50.9%
+7.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.31 →
2.59
+0.28
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 14.6% | 6.83 | — |
HT/FT
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.6 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.01 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.34 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.47 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.92 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.78 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Total goals
| 92.2% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — |
Both to score
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — |
Corners
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.66 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — |
Away corners
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Cards
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.51 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds