Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-08 16:00
Burgos – Celta B
Home
50%
1.99 fair
Draw
25%
4.0 fair
Away
25%
4.02 fair
Expected Goals2.54
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.6%
→
50.1%
-6.4 pp
Draw
25.7%
→
25.0%
-0.7 pp
Away
17.8%
→
24.9%
+7.1 pp
Over 2.5
39.1%
→
46.6%
+7.5 pp
Both teams to score
40.0%
→
49.4%
+9.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.24 →
2.54
+0.3
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
Both halves
| 14.0% | 7.13 | — |
HT/FT
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.42 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.12 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.47 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.85 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.32 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.72 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
Total goals
| 92.2% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — |
Both to score
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — |
Corners
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — |
Home corners
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — |
Away corners
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — |
Cards
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds