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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-01 16:00

Valladolid – Leganes

Home 44% 2.3 fair
Draw 30% 3.32 fair
Away 26% 3.8 fair
Expected Goals2.05
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.534%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.6% → 43.6% +9.0 pp
Draw 31.7% → 30.1% -1.6 pp
Away 33.7% → 26.3% -7.4 pp
Over 2.5 29.3% → 33.8% +4.4 pp
Both teams to score 37.4% → 40.2% +2.7 pp
Expected Goals 1.89 → 2.05 +0.16
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.05
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.96 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.95 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.6% 2.3 —
30.1% 3.32 —
26.3% 3.8 —
73.7% 1.36 —
56.4% 1.77 —
69.9% 1.43 —

Half-time result

32.1% 3.11 —
49.2% 2.03 —
18.6% 5.37 —

Half-time double chance

81.4% 1.23 —
67.9% 1.47 —
50.7% 1.97 —

Both halves

10.6% 9.4 —

HT/FT

26.1% 3.84 —
4.9% 20.62 —
16.1% 6.23 —
21.2% 4.71 —
12.0% 8.36 —
4.0% 24.94 —
13.2% 7.6 —

HT/FT double chance

68.2% 1.47 —
55.3% 1.81 —
39.3% 2.55 —
36.4% 2.75 —
41.9% 2.39 —
23.2% 4.3 —
42.8% 2.34 —
42.6% 2.35 —
50.4% 1.99 —

Total goals

87.0% 1.15 —
60.8% 1.64 —
33.8% 2.96 —
15.3% 6.53 —
39.2% 2.55 —
66.2% 1.51 —
84.7% 1.18 —

1st-half goals

58.9% 1.7 —
22.3% 4.49 —

Home team goals

69.4% 1.44 —
33.5% 2.98 —

Away team goals

57.7% 1.73 —
21.4% 4.66 —

Both to score

40.2% 2.49 —

Corners

63.7% 1.57 —
51.6% 1.94 —
40.7% 2.46 —
30.4% 3.28 —
22.3% 4.48 —
48.4% 2.06 —
59.4% 1.68 —
69.5% 1.44 —
77.7% 1.29 —

Home corners

76.5% 1.31 —
62.9% 1.59 —
48.2% 2.07 —

Away corners

40.7% 2.46 —
24.2% 4.13 —
13.3% 7.52 —

Cards

90.5% 1.1 —
80.4% 1.24 —
67.0% 1.49 —
52.3% 1.91 —
19.6% 5.11 —
33.0% 3.03 —
47.7% 2.1 —

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