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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-01 15:15

Ceuta – Sp Gijon

Home 30% 3.29 fair
Draw 26% 3.89 fair
Away 44% 2.28 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Ceuta – Sp Gijon
FINAL Actual Result 0–2 Ceuta – Sp Gijon
Expected Goals2.76
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.4% → 30.4% +2.0 pp
Draw 25.1% → 25.7% +0.7 pp
Away 46.5% → 43.9% -2.6 pp
Over 2.5 51.0% → 52.1% +1.0 pp
Both teams to score 54.1% → 56.1% +2.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.71 → 2.76 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.23 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.43 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

30.4% 3.29 —
25.7% 3.89 —
43.9% 2.28 —
56.1% 1.78 —
69.6% 1.44 —
74.3% 1.35 —

Half-time result

27.8% 3.59 —
41.3% 2.42 —
30.8% 3.25 —

Half-time double chance

69.2% 1.45 —
72.2% 1.39 —
58.7% 1.71 —

Both halves

7.0% 14.25 —

HT/FT

19.0% 5.25 —
6.0% 16.67 —
9.8% 10.16 —
15.2% 6.57 —
16.3% 6.14 —
4.5% 22.22 —
24.8% 4.04 —

HT/FT double chance

50.1% 2.0 —
48.0% 2.08 —
40.3% 2.48 —
31.1% 3.22 —
48.1% 2.08 —
38.1% 2.62 —
31.1% 3.22 —
52.4% 1.91 —
60.8% 1.65 —

Total goals

93.4% 1.07 —
76.2% 1.31 —
52.1% 1.92 —
30.1% 3.32 —
23.8% 4.2 —
47.9% 2.09 —
69.9% 1.43 —

1st-half goals

71.6% 1.4 —
36.1% 2.77 —

Home team goals

71.2% 1.4 —
35.0% 2.85 —

Away team goals

78.3% 1.28 —
44.6% 2.24 —

Both to score

56.1% 1.78 —

Corners

66.5% 1.5 —
55.1% 1.81 —
43.9% 2.28 —
33.8% 2.96 —
24.7% 4.05 —
44.9% 2.23 —
56.1% 1.78 —
66.2% 1.51 —
75.3% 1.33 —

Home corners

74.7% 1.34 —
60.0% 1.67 —
44.9% 2.23 —

Away corners

50.4% 1.98 —
33.3% 3.0 —
20.3% 4.94 —

Cards

87.1% 1.15 —
74.9% 1.34 —
60.2% 1.66 —
44.7% 2.24 —
25.1% 3.98 —
39.8% 2.51 —
55.3% 1.81 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds